ibusinesslines.com November 13, 2018

Voters issue first referendum on Trump presidency in midterm elections

06 November 2018, 07:15 | Kelvin Horton

Election Day to test Democratic resistance in Trump era

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President Trump will breathe a sigh of relief if his party maintains its majority in the Senate, but losing control of the House of Representatives could create big problems for him.

Trump was holding his final three get-out-the-vote rallies in Fort Wayne, Indiana, and Cape Girardeau, Missouri, where he was being joined by special guest Rush Limbaugh.

U.S. Senator Chris Van Hollen, who heads the Democratic Senate campaign arm, said it was "remarkable" that Democrats were even in striking distance of capturing the Senate given the unfavourable map they faced. He said the country is turning around rapidly and will have many quarters like the one that delivered 4.2 percent GDP growth under his presidency.

When Blackburn took the stage briefly, she told supporters, "If you want to vote no to Hillary Clinton and her cronies one more time, stand with me". "And especially in the House where a simple majority gives you nearly absolute power to again set the agenda and get bills across the floor".

It's much tighter in the Senate, where the Republicans have only two more. "I'm here to say that hatred is not going to win". "They'll be miserable because they're in the minority". Democratic Senate incumbents are up for re-election, for example, in North Dakota, West Virginia and Montana - states Trump carried by 30 percentage points on average two years ago. The poll of likely voters found that 46% would choose the Republican candidate, while 45% would choose the Democrat. They have come a long way in messaging.

Democrats could derail Trump's legislative agenda for the next two years should they win control of the House or the Senate. If Trump manages to pull off a victory in terms of retaining control of one or both Houses, it will be seen as a validation of his stand that poor migrants and refugees from other countries are a threat to the peaceful life of the American people and send out a clear message to the world on what the original "country of migrants" now thinks on that issue. Senate Republicans can continue to confirm judges at record rates.

Cook moved an open seat in Washington from "toss-up" to "lean-Democrat" and shifted a race in Pennsylvania and Georgia's 6th district from "lean-Republican" to "toss-up".

"If the radical Democrats take power they will take a wrecking ball to our economy and our future", Trump declared in Cleveland, using the same heated rhetoric that has defined much of his presidency.

But even if Republicans keep the House, their margins are likely to be smaller, making it harder to pass bills.

"There's 23 seats, and if they can flip just a little bit more than 23 seats, Democrats will wrangle control from the Republicans", Chaffetz said.

There are around 250 million Americans who are eligible to vote, but turnout in midterm elections is typically about 40%.

"So we just want to let them know that there will be prosecutions at the highest level".

More Democrats voted early than Republicans in Florida, home to a number of key races, while in Arizona, Republicans' traditional voter-turnout advantage shrank in early voting, according to state statistics. "We need moderates like myself". "And when you do that, then the spirit of America is going to shine". We need to get better trade deals with our friends around the world.

Bottom line: I think polls that say the Democrats will do well on Election Day are wrong, unless there's a hidden dissatisfaction with money issues.

Trump, without control of Congress, could decide to triangulate.

Democrat Stacey Abrams' gubernatorial challenge in Georgia has drawn major media attention because of its potentially historic nature. "But it could be good for Trump - for his own personal political goals".

"This whole thing with this caravan is pretty scary", said Jennifer Rager, 55, of Bozeman, Montana, who approves of Mr. Trump's plans to crack down on immigration.

While no demographic group expressed more than 70 percent faith in democracy, some demographics were substantially more likely to express it than others.

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