ibusinesslines.com
ibusinesslines.com November 14, 2018


Warm winter forecast for much of U.S.

20 October 2018, 11:23 | Justin Tyler

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While the current spell of unseasonably cold weather might have you fearing the worst this winter, the NOAA's Climate Prediction Center's outlook from December through February is anticipating a milder winter for much of the USA, according to their forecast released Thursday.

"We expect El Nino to be in place in late fall to early winter", said Mike Halpert, deputy director of NOAA's Climate Prediction Center, which could "influence the winter season by bringing wetter conditions across the southern United States, and warmer, drier conditions to parts of the North".

Winter looks wet and especially mild for much of the country, thanks to a weak El Nino brewing, USA meteorologists said.

The outlook is also predicting it won't be an unusually wet winter for New England.

In the U.S. Winter Outlook for December through February, higher-than-normal temperatures are expected across the western and northern U.S., Alaska, and Hawaii.

No parts of the country are due to see a colder-than-normal winter.

If NOAA's outlook holds true and much of the nation is milder than normal, it will mark the fourth straight warmer-than-normal winter for the Lower 48.


The northern Rockies, northern Plains, Great Lakes and northern Ohio Valley are likely to see below-average precipitation, including snow.

The Southeast, Ohio Valley and mid-Atlantic can go any way on temperature, Halpert said.

No part of the United States is expected to have below-average temperatures, according to the outlook. "There's a 70-to-75 percent chance El Nino will develop in the next few months".

Precipitation is expected to be above normal across the southern tier of the U.S., extending up into the Mid-Atlantic.

Hawaii, Montana, Michigan, parts of Idaho, Wisconsin, northern Illinois, Indiana and OH are forecast to be drier than normal, with the biggest likelihood in Hawaii, Montana and Michigan. Northern Florida and southern Georgia have the greatest odds for above-average precipitation during the winter, the NOAA said.

-This outlook does not project seasonal snowfall accumulations.

-Even during a warmer than normal winter, it will still get cold and snow is still likely to occur. That means, invariably, some areas will experience conditions opposite the most likely forecast even if most locations are correctly predicted, Halpert said. But in case you need some talking down, a new forecast from NOAA says that at the very least, it won't be a nightmare this year.



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